MLB Picks: Philadelphia Phillies Try to Take Big Lead vs. San Diego Padres

Article By John Ryan

Url copied!

John Ryan founded a cutting-edge sports technology company more than 25 years ago. John has utilized many of the machine learning tools that have applications in other industries to successfully build simulation models, neural networks, and many types of algorithms that have earned strong predictive results. To identify a betting opportunity the fundamental research must support the mathematical projections. John has a proven track record of success as shown in his season records and numerous Top-10 finishes in all Major Sports.

Read Full Bio

Last Updated: Mar 14^th, 2024

© USA Today

To help with your MLB betting, we take a look at today's playoff game.

Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres

Game 2, 4:35 p.m. ET, FOX

Petco Park, San Diego

The Phillies won Game 1 of the NLCS the same way they have been winning many games this season with Kyle Schwarber’s and Bryce Harper’s bat, and the arm of Zack Wheeler. 

The Phillies turn to Aaron Nola for Game 2 and he has not allowed an earned run in the playoffs. The Padres might be in deep trouble.

Situational Trends and Angles

• The Over is 21-12-1 (64%) in Game-2 of a playoff series if the road team won Game-1 and the line is between a –125 favorite and a +125 underdog.
• The Phillies are 6-2 at Petco Park with the average score being 4-3
• The Phillies skipper Rob Thomson is 40-12 making 24 units on moneyline when facing an opponent that averages 2.75 or fewer extra-base hits per game.
• The Padres starter Blake Snell is 0-3 in four career starts against the Phillies with a 4.91 ERA and a 1.309 WHIP
• Snell is 1-5 losing 7 units on the moneyline in day-game starts this season.
• Phillies are 8-6 making 6 units on the moneyline when priced as an underdog and facing a left-handed starter this season.

I am betting on the Phillies using the moneyline priced at +102 at FandDuel.

Live In-Game Betting Strategy

• Bet 50% of your normal bet amount ‘pre-flop’ (before the game starts) on the Phillies on the moneyline.
• If, during the first three innings, the Padres score first and not more than 3 runs in total, bet the remaining 50% using the live in-game moneyline price on the Phillies.

Quick Pitches

Here are some player prop bets to consider today.

In 194 prop bets, I have an 82-112 record, making a profit of $399 per $20 pizza-money wager or $1,995 per $100 wager. The results have produced a 61% return on investment (ROI) for the 2022 MLB season and playoffs.

Updated by

Url copied!

John Ryan founded a cutting-edge sports technology company more than 25 years ago. John has utilized many of the machine learning tools that have applications in other industries to successfully build simulation models, neural networks, and many types of algorithms that have earned strong predictive results. To identify a betting opportunity the fundamental research must support the mathematical projections. John has a proven track record of success as shown in his season records and numerous Top-10 finishes in all Major Sports.

Read Full Bio

John Ryan

Last Updated:   Mar 14^th, 2024

Share:

Url copied!