Best Statistically-Based Bets to Make on Major League Soccer Games this Weekend

Author Image Article By Grant McQuillan GDC - Icon - Black - Info
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Best Statistically-Based Bets to Make on Major League Soccer Games this Weekend
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We’ll give you betting advice for betting on Major League Soccer games throughout the season.

We’ve used the data from around MLS and examined the latest odds for the upcoming games to see what the most statistically-backed outcomes are set to be for the weekend matches.

Montreal to Beat Orlando and Both Teams to Score: (44.4%)

Montreal will be aiming to extend its unbeaten streak to eight games when it meets Orlando City, and with four of those games ending with a win in its favor, it is expected to beat the Florida outfit here.

Orlando has had a fantastic season, and it has seen over 2.5 goals in 40% of its games with Montreal seeing 77.8% of games see over 2.5 goals.

Montreal has seen both teams score in all eight of its past games, too, and has only kept three clean sheets all season. Orlando is sitting above the Canadian side in the table, and has only failed to score in two of its past 10 games.

LAFC to Beat Philadelphia and Over 2.5 Goals in the Game: (55.6%)

Los Angeles FC will be looking for its eighth win in 10 MLS games when it meets with fellow table toppers, Philadelphia Union. The Union is on top of the Eastern Conference with five wins in nine games, and they have netted an impressive 13 goals.

LAFC, however, is top of the overall standings in the MLS, and with their 21 goals scored, only Austin has netted more this season. 

The California side has seen 55.6% of its games end with a win and over 2.5 goals, and with Philadelphia failing to win its last three games, LAFC is expected to win here.

Jesus Jimenez to Score Anytime Against Vancouver: (44.4%)

With seven league goals already for Jesus Jimenez, he and Sebastián Driussi are leading the way as the top scorers in the MLS and they are even outsourcing future potential Most Valuable Player, Javier Hernandez.  

In 10 games, Jimenez has scored seven times for Toronto and with the Canadian side scoring 16 goals in its 10 MLS outings, it means Jimenez has netted almost 50% of the goals. 

Against a Vancouver Whitecaps team with six losses and one win in their eight games so far this season, this Canadian derby could well end with a heavy scoreline for Toronto.

If the goals do come in, the odds of Jimenez getting at least one of them are high. Jimenez scored against Cincinnati last week too, and he has a great chance of increasing his exceptional goals to game ratio here.

Silva Gregore to be Carded Against Charlotte: (66.7%)

At an incredible rate of 66.7%, Silva Gregore has received a card in six of his nine MLS games for Inter Miami this season. The defensive midfielder led the number of tackles (55) for the 2021 MLS regular season, as he won the MVP award for Miami.

Now, with Phil Neville's side conceding 18 goals in the league this season, the Gregore is needed in each game on the defensive front. Charlotte is expected to be on the attack Saturday as it needs a win to avoid getting sucked further away from the playoffs and closer to the bottom of the table. 

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Grant McQuillan

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