NBA Picks: Bet on Surging Kevin Durant, Nets Against Wizards

NBA Picks: Bet on Surging Kevin Durant, Nets Against Wizards
© USA Today

To help with your NBA betting, here are our picks for tonight's games. We'll start with our prop bet picks, then to our game picks.

Prop Bets to Consider Today

BOOK ODDS BET DESCRIPTION
Caesars +110 Pacers Tyrese Haliburton Over 2.5 3-pointers made
DraftKings +140 Hawks Dejounte Murray Over 2.5 steals + Blocks
DraftKings -105 Bulls Zach Levine Over 21.5 points
FanDuel -106 Bucks Jevon Carter Over 12.5 points + assists
DraftKings -125 Timberwolves Rudy Gobert Over 28.5 points, rebounds, assists

The player prop bets are 59-49 making $736 for the season wagering $50 per prop. 

Washington Wizards vs Brooklyn Nets

7:30 EDT Tip-Off 

Line: Nets - 6  Total 226 points 

I am betting on the Nets -6-points at DraftKings Sportsbook and is a valid bet up to and including –7.5 points tonight 

Thanks to Kevin Durant’s 45 points, the Brooklyn Nets are now back at .500 for the season at 11-11. Durant posted his eighth 40+ point game with the Nets and his 63rd of his career and was 8-for-9 scoring 18 points in the third period.

The Washington Wizards ended a three-game skid to stay above the .500 mark at 11-10 with a resounding 142-127 home win over the Minnesota Timberwolves. Kristaps Porzingis scored a career-high 41 points in just 31 minutes for the Wizards, who never trailed in the win and led by as many as 28 points.

The following situational trends and angles from my predictive model support a best bet on the Nets.

  • The Wizards ar 6-19-1against the spread following two straight games in which they had at least seven fewer turnovers than their opponent in each game.
  • The Wizards are 8-19 ATS coming off an upset home win by 15 or more points.
  • The Wizards are 6-11 ATS coming off an upset home win and now on the road with a total of at least 220 points.

Other Games on My Radar 

Miami +9.5 vs Boston

  • The Heat are 34-19-1 ATS following a game in which a combined 205 or fewer points were scored spanning the last three seasons.

Trail Blazers +5.5 vs LA Lakers

  • The Lakers are a money-burning 2-11 ATS after having won five of their last seven games over the past three seasons.
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