NBA Picks: How to Handle Back-to-Back With Hawks at Pistons

Article By John Ryan

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John Ryan founded a cutting-edge sports technology company more than 25 years ago. John has utilized many of the machine learning tools that have applications in other industries to successfully build simulation models, neural networks, and many types of algorithms that have earned strong predictive results. To identify a betting opportunity the fundamental research must support the mathematical projections. John has a proven track record of success as shown in his season records and numerous Top-10 finishes in all Major Sports.

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Last Updated: Mar 14^th, 2024

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To help with your NBA betting, here are our picks for tonight's games. We'll start with our prop bet picks, then to our game picks.

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Atlanta Hawks at Detroit Pistons

7 p.m. ET

Line: Hawks –7.5 | Total: 229 points

Bet the Pistons plus the points and sprinkle the moneyline.

The Pistons are playing on back-to-back nights and coming off three straight road losses, but this puts them into an excellent contrarian best-bet opportunity tonight.

Betting on teams playing on back-to-backs that have lost three straight road games, have a 32-30 straight up (SU) record and 45-15-2 against the spread (ATS) mark for 75% winning bets since the start of the 2016 season. 

There is more data drilling to do though. If our team is installed as a dog between 3.5 and 9.5 points, they have gone to a 19-3 ATS record, good for 86.4% winning bets since 2016.

In a rare scheduling glitch these two teams will play two consecutive games against each other in Detroit starting tonight, then have a day off, then meet again on Friday. 

Thus far, the Hawks have been reliant on starters for most of their scoring. Trae Young leads the club in scoring (25.3 points per game) and assists (11.7). Backcourt partner Dejounte Murray is second in both categories (19.7, 8.3) while grabbing 7.3 rebounds per game and nabbing 3.3 steals per outing.

John Collins is averaging a double-double (19.0 points, 10.3 rebounds), but the highest-scoring reserve, Onyeka Okongwu, is averaging just 8.7 points. Charlotte's reserves outscored Atlanta's bench 52-28 in the Hawks' 126-109 road loss Sunday. The Detroit bench is much better than the Hawks right now, which gives them a terrific opportunity to earn an upset win tonight.

Situational Trends and Angles

• The Pistons are 47-28 ATS following a game in which they scored 105 or more points in games played over the past three seasons.
• The Hawks are 4-15 ATS in road games following a double-digit loss in games played over the past three seasons.
• The Hawks are 12-24 ATS in road games where the total is greater than 220 points in games played over the past two seasons.

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John Ryan founded a cutting-edge sports technology company more than 25 years ago. John has utilized many of the machine learning tools that have applications in other industries to successfully build simulation models, neural networks, and many types of algorithms that have earned strong predictive results. To identify a betting opportunity the fundamental research must support the mathematical projections. John has a proven track record of success as shown in his season records and numerous Top-10 finishes in all Major Sports.

Read Full Bio

John Ryan

Last Updated:   Mar 14^th, 2024

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