NBA Picks: Who to Take in Mavericks vs. Pelicans?

NBA Picks: Who to Take in Mavericks vs. Pelicans?
© USA Today

To help with your NBA betting, here are our picks for tonight's games. We'll start with our prop bet picks, then to our game picks.

 

Prop Bets to Consider Today

Sportsbook Odds Prop Bet
BetRivers -111 Pistons’ Cade Cunningham Over 19.5 points
FanDuel +3000 Mavericks’ Spencer Dinwiddie to record a double-double
FanDuel +560 Warriors’ Draymond Green to record a double-double

The player prop bets are 11-10 making $73.50 for the season wagering $50 per prop.

 

Dallas Mavericks at New Orleans Pelicans

6:30 p.m. ET, TNT

Line: Mavericks -4.5   Total: 221.5 points

I am betting on the Mavericks -4.5 points as offered at BetMGM.

The Pelicans are a solid betting opportunity to win the Southwest Division this season if they remain healthy. That goal has already been sorely tested with the loss of Brandon Ingram, who has entered the concussion protocol and Zion Williamson is questionable to play tonight after suffering a bruised hip. 

The line is telling me that Williamson will not be playing tonight, but if later today he is listed as probable, then this line will collapse and bottom out at pick-em. 

So, if you like the Mavericks as I do in this matchup, the preferred strategy is to bet 50% of your normal betting amount now and then look toward the tip-off to place the remaining 50% amount.

Situational Trends and Angles

  • The Mavericks coach Jason Kidd is 16-4 (80%) against the spread (ATS) when facing a solid rebounding team that outrebounds their opponents by an average of three or more boards per game.
  • The Mavericks are 34-19 ATS (64%) as a favorite in games played over the past two seasons.
  • The Mavericks are 13-7 ATS (65%) as a road favorite in games played over the past two seasons.

 

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