College Football Picks: How to Bet Big 12 Showdown Between TCU and Kansas State

Article By John Ryan

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John Ryan founded a cutting-edge sports technology company more than 25 years ago. John has utilized many of the machine learning tools that have applications in other industries to successfully build simulation models, neural networks, and many types of algorithms that have earned strong predictive results. To identify a betting opportunity the fundamental research must support the mathematical projections. John has a proven track record of success as shown in his season records and numerous Top-10 finishes in all Major Sports.

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Last Updated: Mar 14^th, 2024

Highlighting this week's college football betting picks is the Big 12 showdown between TCU and Kansas State. 

We'll hit that and some other big games on the schedule.

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No. 17 Kansas State Wildcats at No. 8 TCU Horned Frogs

Saturday, 8 p.m., FS1

Line: TCU -3.5 | Total: 53 points

I am betting the Kansas State +4 at -110 that is offered at Caesars.

TCU is one of the nine remaining undefeated teams but needed a dramatic come-from-behind rally to erase a 14-point fourth-quarter deficit to beat Oklahoma State 43-40 in double overtime.

TCU's quarterback Max Duggan has completed 70% of his passes for 1,591 yards with a 16 to one touchdown to interception ratio. Duggan and the TCU offense will have their hands full against a Kansas State defense that has allowed TCU to score 17 or fewer points in five of the last six meetings including just 12 points in a 31-12 loss last season.

The betting markets opened with Kansas State priced as a four-point road underdog and has really remained unchanged throughout the week with a few 3.5 price tags appearing. 

What I like most about this line is the fact that 60% of the tickets are bet on Kansas State and more than 78% of the money. That means that the large betters are clearly backing Kansas State.

Situational Trends and Angles

• Kansas State is 9-1 against the spread after playing the last game on the road in games played over the last three seasons.
• Kansas State is 15-5 ATS in road games after gaining 6.25 or more yards per play in two consecutive games.
• TCU head coach Sonny Dykes is 9-22 ATS when playing against a top-level team sporting a win percentage of 75% or higher for his career.

Quick Kicks

Here are some other games to bet on this weekend.

Take UCLA +6.5 points over Oregon.

Take Tulane -7 points over Memphis.

• Bet 50% of your bet amount before kickoff and then add the remaining 50% on Tulane -2.5 or lower during the first half.

Take the Over at 57.5 points in the Duke and Miami game.

Take Penn State -4 points over Minnesota.

Take Mississippi State +21 points over Alabama. 

• Mississippi State coach Mike leach is 33-13 ATS when facing strong rushing teams averaging 200 or more rushing yards per game in all games that he has coached for his career.

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John Ryan founded a cutting-edge sports technology company more than 25 years ago. John has utilized many of the machine learning tools that have applications in other industries to successfully build simulation models, neural networks, and many types of algorithms that have earned strong predictive results. To identify a betting opportunity the fundamental research must support the mathematical projections. John has a proven track record of success as shown in his season records and numerous Top-10 finishes in all Major Sports.

Read Full Bio

John Ryan

Last Updated:   Mar 14^th, 2024

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