NFL Picks: Thursday Night Football Betting Advice

NFL Picks: Thursday Night Football Betting Advice
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I won the Under bet full game in Seattle's win against the visiting Denver Broncos on Monday. 

That makes my premium picks published exclusively here at Gambling.com 4-0 against the spread to start the season.

Let's look at tonight's game to help with your NFL betting.

 

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Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs

Today, 8:15 ET, NBC

Line: Chiefs -4 | Total:  54 points

Given a line favoring the Chiefs by four points and a total of 54 points implies a Chiefs 29-25 win. My predictive model shows a high probability that both teams will score 24 or more points.

  • Since 2006, the Chiefs are 32-4 Over for 89% wins when they and their opponents both score 24 or more points with a total of at least 50 points.
  • Since 2006, the Chargers are 17-1 Over for 84% wins when they and their opponents both score 24 or more points with a total of at least 50 points.

I am betting the Over 54 points as offered at BetMGM Sportsbook.

 

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A Few Player Prop Considerations

  • Chargers placekicker Dustin Hopkins Over 2.5 extra points made -110 at Caesars.
  • Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert longest pass Over 37.5 yards –114 at FanDuel.
  • Chargers quarterback Herbert Over 1.5 passing touchdowns –190 at BetRivers.

 

 

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