Champions League Picks: Betting Advice, Analysis for the 2023 Final

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Champions League Picks: Betting Advice, Analysis for the 2023 Final
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Manchester City is chasing an historic treble this Saturday when it meets with Inter Milan in Istanbul for the Champions League final where the Serie A team is chasing its second trophy of the season.

We take the odds from the best sports betting sites and make our best three bets for the biggest soccer game of the European season.

Erling Haaland to Score and City to Win

Erling Haaland has put on record the best debut season in English soccer history. 

Currently, the City striker has scored 52 times in 52 games this season and 12 of these have come in the Champions League, including five in a match against RB Leipzig in the round of 16. Haaland needs just one more goal to equal Ruud van Nistlerooy’s record for the most Champions League goals in a season from an English team.

Despite scoring 52 times this season, including a record-breaking 36 Premier League goals in 35 games, he has not scored in his past seven matches. 

What’s more, Inter has won only seven of the 12 games in the Champions League this season and also lost 12 of its 38 Serie A games. Now, with Haaland hungry to break a rare goal drought on the biggest stage of them all, City is expected to win with the irreplaceable 22-year-old likely to help it do so. 

City to win by exactly 2 goals and Erling Haaland to score is +482 with FanDuel Sportsbook.


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Marcelo Brozovic to Get a Card

Despite winning the Coppa Italia and reaching the final of this Champions League, Inter has had a very ill-disciplined season. In total, it has had five red cards and 96 yellow cards across all 56 matches in 2022-23 season.

To show how undisciplined the team has been, 22 of those yellow cards have come in the Champions League in just 12 games. Marcelo Brozovic has picked up nine of the total tally and is Inter's most-carded player.

Brozovic has played every second of the last three games because of the injury to Henrikh Mkhitaryan and is now expected to start the Champions League final with the latter still out injured.

What’s more, Brozovic will have the incredibly tough task of battling with City’s midfield consisting of Rodri, Ilkay Gundogan and Kevin De Bruyne, who have run riot against everyone in 2023. 

This no doubt means Brozovic will have to make a lot of tackles and likely get a card.

Marcelo Brozovic to get a booking is +170 with DraftKings Sportsbook.


Like soccer? Check out Gambling.com's soccer picks page!


Edin Dzeko and Ilkay Gundogan to Have a Shot on Target

Edin Dzeko will lead the attacking line for Inter once more as the striker looks to upset the soccer betting odds against his former team. As history tells us, a man playing against his ex-teammates usually brings out the best in him.

Dzeko also scored the first goal in the 3-0 two-legged win against AC Milan in the semifinals for Inter, and he has 1.9 shots per game and 11 on target from 777 minutes in the 12 Champions League games. This has also seen him score four times in the Champions League this campaign.

Gundogan, as per usual, has been City’s best player towards the end of the season and has now scored six goals in the past four games for it. This includes two volleys from outside the penalty area against Manchester United in last weekend’s FA Cup final and two stunning goals against Everton three weeks ago.

Gundogan has also had 1.6 shots per game in the Champions League this season and hit the target eight times in 907 minutes in the 12 games for City.

Edin Dzeko and Ilkay Gundogan 1+ shot on target is +290 with Unibet Sportsbook.