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NFL Betting: NFC North Situation Angles

NFL Betting: NFC North Situation Angles
© USA Today

Here is an NFL analytical resource that provides the top situational angles, spanning the past 10 seasons that many teams will find themselves in through the 2022 season. 

These are starting points to the handicapping process each week of the NFL season. 

As you will see below "Best Situational Angle" means that the angle might be a high winning or low losing percentage for the team and situation involved.

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NFL North

Detroit Lions

  • 15-8-1 against the spread (ATS) for 65% when coming off three or more straight up (SU) and ATS wins.
  • 12-6 ATS for 67% when coming off two consecutive games failing to score a rushing touchdown.
  • 13-6 Under for 68% in road games and facing an opponent that has lost 67% of their games in the current season.
  • 18-7 Over when favored between 2.5 and 6.5 points and taking on a conference opponent.
  • 8-1 Under for 89% in games played before a game scheduled for Thursday Night Football.

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Chicago Bears

  • 3-12 ATS for 20% priced as an underdog and coming off a game in which their defense held that opponent to 25% or lower third-down conversions.
  • 10-4-1 ATS for 71% after Week 4 and when having the better (more efficient) yards-per-point ratio and favored by at least six points.
  • 6-12 ATS for 33% when on the road following back-to-back losses and facing a host with a winning record.
  • 6-12 ATS for 33% when on the road following back-to-back losses and facing a host with a winning record.
  • 38-1 ATS for 27% when on the road and facing a host coming off a loss in which they were the favorite.

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Green Bay Packers

  • 11-6 ATS for 65% priced as a favorite and coming off a game in which their defense held that opponent to 25% or lower third-down conversions.
  • 24-11 Over for 69% when priced as an underdog of six or fewer points and taking on a conference opponent.
  • 26-13-1 ATS for 67% when coming off a win over a divisional opponent.
  • 10-4-1 ATS for 71% when coming off a divisional matchup at home and now facing an opponent with a winning record.
  • 7-1 ATS for 89% in home games playing with revenge and with that opponent coming off a straight-up (SU) loss priced as the favorite.

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Minnesota Vikings

  • 14-5 ATS for 74% priced as a dog and coming off a game in which their defense held that opponent to 25% or lower third-down conversions.
  • 11-4 Over for 73% in road games and facing an opponent that has lost 67% of their games in the current season.
  • 17-9-1 ATS for 65% when coming off a win over a divisional opponent.
  • 8-3 ATS when playing at home with same season revenge from a previous loss to the current opponent.
  • 7-3-1 for 70% when coming off a divisional matchup at home and now facing an opponent with a winning record.
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