NCAA Men’s Basketball Previews, Picks and Predictions for Thursday, Feb. 24
Here is tonight's 3-pointer, college basketball betting advice on three NCAA men's college basketball games.
Gonzaga vs. San Francisco
- War Memorial Gym, San Francisco
- 9 p.m. ET Tip
No. 1 Gonzaga will put its 16-game winning streak on the line when it takes on West Coast Conference foe San Francisco tonight. Both teams are projected to be in the NCAA Tournament, but the Dons’ resume would shine far more brightly with an upset of the Bulldogs.
Betting Lines for Gonzaga vs. USF
The betting line for this matchup opened with the Bulldogs priced as a 9.5-point road favorite and we have seen 61% of the tickets and 81% of the money bet on them.
The wave of Bulldog bets has pushed the market higher, making them a 10-point favorite. Caesars Sportsbook has them as 11-point favorites. This line has the potential to go higher and I believe it will get to around 12.5 points.
The total for this game opened at 156 points and has seen 72% of the tickets and 81% of the money on the Over. That makes sense given that the Bulldogs are the top-scoring offense in the land averaging 89.5 points per game.
The Dons rank 40th in the nation, averaging 77.4 points per game. The two teams combined are averaging 166.9 points per game, nearly 10 points higher than the posted total.
Trends and Angles
The Bulldogs are 14-7 Under when priced as a double-digit favorite and 9-2 Under after two games in which they allowed nine or fewer offensive rebounds this season.
San Francisco is 26-12 on the Under in home games after failing to cover the spread in three of their last four games and 16-3 Under when coming off a win of 20 or more points in games played over the last 25 seasons.
I am betting the Under at 157.5 points.
Southern Cal vs. Oregon State
- Gill Coliseum, Corvallis, Oregon
- 11 p.m. ET Tip
The No. 16 USC Trojans got for a season sweep of the Oregon State Beavers tonight. On Sunday, the Trojans escaped with a 62-60 win at home against Washington State and failed to cover the spread as 7-point favorites. The Beavers have lost their past 12 games and have been a money-burning 3-8-1 against the spread.
The Betting Lines for USC At Oregon State
The Trojans opened as 11-point road favorites, and the line has shifted lower to a current price of -10 as offered by the BetMGM Sportsbook and Caesars Sportsbook.
The line moving lower is a bit of a head-scratcher given that the Beavers have only three wins.
The total opened at 139.5 points and has seen 80% of the tickets, but just 54% of the money betting the Over. As a result, the total line has moved higher to a current price of 140 points as offered at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Trojans are 6-0 Under in road games after a game in which they failed to cover the spread this season. They are also 25-16 Under after three consecutive home games.
What is the Best Bet to Make?
I am betting on the Trojans in this matchup, and it is supported by a highly profitable betting algorithm that has earned followers, who are betting $100 per game, a $2,300 profit over the last five seasons.
The requirements are to bet on road teams priced as favorites that are coming off a win of three or fewer points and now taking on a host that allowed 40 or more points in the first half of each of their last two games.
The Best Bet is on USC minus the points.
Arizona vs. Utah
- Jon M. Huntsman Center, Salt Lake City
- 11 p.m. ET Tip
The No. 2 Arizona Wildcats will look to make it nine consecutive wins when they travel to Salt Lake City to take on PAC-12 Conference foe Utah tonight.
The Wildcats’ winning streak has moved them to the highest ranking in the polls since the 2017 season and includes wins over ranked opponents UCLA and Southern California.
In their previous game, an 84-81 win over Oregon on Saturday, the Wildcats were led by current PAC-12 Player of the Week Bennedict Mathurin, who scored 24 points, with seven rebounds and five assists.
Arizona shot 53.5% from the field, marking the third straight game and fourth of the past five games in which it shot 50% or higher from the field.
The line opened with the Wildcats installed as 11.5-point road favorites and has seen it decline modestly to 10-point favorites.
Trends and Angles for the Best Bet
I am betting the Wildcats in this matchup.
The Wildcats are 72-45 against the spread in road games when facing solid free throw shooting teams making 72% or more of their free throws.
The Utes are 3-11 SATS when facing excellent defensive teams allowing 42% or lower opponent shooting and 6-15 ATS when facing solid ball-handling teams that are committing 14 or fewer turnovers per game this season.
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