NFL Picks: Can Dallas Keep Its Streak Going Against the Giants?

NFL Picks: Can Dallas Keep Its Streak Going Against the Giants?
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Here is my Thanksgiving Day NFL bets that I will take to the window. We'll start with our prop bets, then pick the game.

Prop Bet Picks for Thursday's Games 

Sportsbook Odds Bet Description
FanDuel -115Lions' Jared Goff Over 22.5 completions
BetRivers -120Bills' Tyler Bass Over 7.5 points
Caesars -115Lions' Alex Anzalone Over 7.5 tackles and assists
DraftKings +170Patriots' Mac Jones Over 1.5 passing touchdowns
FanDuel +600Cowboys' CeeDee Lamb 2+ touchdowns

For the season, player prop bets are 59-44 for 57% winning bets averaging a +254 wager, making $1,696 per $50 bet.

New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys

Thursday, 4:30 p.m. ET, FOX

Line: Cowboys -9.5 | Total: 45.5 points

I am betting Dallas -9.5 full game and Dallas -6 using the first-half betting lines as offered at Caesars.

The Giants played their worst game of the season last week, losing to the Detroit Lions 31-18. The Cowboys played by far their best game of the season defeating the Minnesota Vikings, who had the second-best record team in the NFC. 

So, the Cowboys are carrying the most positive momentum they have enjoyed all season, while the Giants are doing their best to bounce back in three days and work for the upset road win.

Making matters worse for the Giants is Dallas has won 10 of the past 11 games against the Giants and five consecutive games in Dallas. 

Situational Trends and Angles

  • Dallas is 9 -2 against the spread when facing a struggling defensive team allowing 5.65 or more yards per play over the last two seasons.
  • Dallas is 17-4 ATS when facing conference opponents over the last two seasons.
  • Dallas is on a 6-0 ATS winning streak after scoring 25 or more points in two consecutive games over the last two seasons.